MMarketing Against The Grain
← All episodes
05 January 2023

7 Marketing Trends & Opportunities for 2023

3Frameworks
9Insights

Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Myth Buster· 1

Myth Buster14:30

ChatGPT's Confidence Can Conceal Incorrect Answers

The hosts warn that ChatGPT can sound equally authoritative when it is right or wrong. They also identify stale information and weaker performance on obscure long-tail queries as important limitations that preserve part of Google's advantage.

  • Confident language makes errors difficult to detect
  • The discussed version used information from before 2021
  • Obscure topics appeared to expose weaknesses
  • Google remains difficult to disrupt because many searches are novel

it is wrong as much as it is right, but you can't tell the difference

Kieran Flanagan · 14:30

It doesn't appear to be as good as a very obscure topics.

Kieran Flanagan · 15:00
#chatgpt#hallucinations#search quality#google

Hot Take· 4

Hot Take01:00

Why TikTok Regulation Could Accelerate YouTube

Kipp predicts that governments will regulate TikTok's data handling and platform operations rather than ban it outright. He argues that short-term disruption to TikTok's advertising or algorithm could push audiences and marketers toward YouTube, whose long-form foundation offers stronger monetization.

  • TikTok could face data-sharing and collection restrictions
  • Regulation may affect advertising and recommendation algorithms
  • YouTube begins with a stronger long-form monetization model
  • YouTube-first marketers could benefit from temporary TikTok disruption

I don't think it gets banned in the United States, but it gets regulated in the US and potentially other countries.

Kipp Bodnar · 01:00

any regulation is a win for YouTube and a win for businesses and marketers that are YouTube first.

Kipp Bodnar · 03:00
#tiktok#youtube#regulation#video marketing
Hot Take16:00

Newsletters May Rise While Transactional Marketing Email Declines

Kipp predicts continued growth for timely, niche, point-of-view newsletters while conventional product and discount emails lose engagement. Beginning the subscriber relationship with a valuable newsletter may also reduce decay in later promotional communication.

  • Niche newsletters can provide timely and distinctive information
  • Traditional promotional email may suffer lower engagement
  • Newsletter-first relationships may protect broader email performance
  • Audience capacity limits how many newsletters can achieve meaningful consumption

email newsletters are gonna continue their rise.

Kipp Bodnar · 16:00

traditional email performance marketing to promote products and discounts and all that kind of stuff is gonna decline in performance.

Kipp Bodnar · 16:00
#newsletters#email marketing#audience#content
Hot Take20:30

Brand NFT Experiments Could Lift Ethereum and Polygon

Kipp predicts a second-half resurgence in NFT adoption as brands continue developing decentralized strategies. Kieran remains skeptical of uninspired loyalty implementations and asks for examples that use NFTs in genuinely clever ways rather than simply adding a secondary market.

  • The predicted resurgence centers on Ethereum and Polygon
  • Brand activity is expected later rather than early in the year
  • Speculative downtime may give builders space to design better uses
  • Tokenized loyalty alone may not create a compelling customer experience

I think NFTs are going to see a resurgence of popularity that is gonna drive adoption of Ethereum and Polygon

Kipp Bodnar · 20:30

I wanna see an incredible example of how a brand has used NFTs in a clever way.

Kieran Flanagan · 21:00
#nfts#ethereum#polygon#web3#brands
Hot Take23:30

Answer Engines Threaten SEO Traffic and Display Advertising

The hosts expect conversational AI and richer search snippets to reduce the need to visit publisher pages. That shift could weaken search-dependent acquisition and the display advertising model attached to informational websites.

  • AI answers may intercept informational searches
  • Improved snippets can reduce outbound clicks from Google
  • Search-dependent brands face acquisition risk
  • Display inventory suffers when users no longer visit content pages

I think the way that Google actually beats ChatGPT is actually improving the snippets and that's bad for everyone

Kieran Flanagan · 24:00

all of those display advertising content sites, those will just now be chat answers and display advertising like consumption is gonna go way, way, way…

Kipp Bodnar · 24:30
#seo#display advertising#search#chatgpt

Explainer· 2

Explainer07:00

The Advertising Market Is Moving Beyond Google and Facebook

Google and Facebook's combined advertising share fell below 50% in 2022 for the first time since 2014. The hosts expect Amazon, Netflix, Reddit, TikTok, marketplaces, and improved out-of-home advertising to create a more diversified and competitive landscape.

  • Google and Facebook held 48.4% combined market share in 2022
  • Amazon's advertising business was growing quickly
  • Netflix and marketplace companies were opening new ad inventory
  • Greater competition could improve advertiser costs and performance

That was the first time that their combined market share has been under 50% since 2014, nearly a decade.

Kipp Bodnar · 07:30

The more competition of good advertising, the better performance you're gonna get at a better cost.

Kipp Bodnar · 08:30
#advertising#google#facebook#amazon#netflix
Explainer10:00

ChatGPT Behaves Like a Search Assistant, Not a Search Engine

Kieran explains that ChatGPT does more than return links: it packages answers consistently, removes search-optimized filler, and supports conversational refinement. Its most transformative advantage is the ability to iterate on a request without reconstructing several new searches.

  • ChatGPT synthesizes answers instead of returning ten links
  • Its responses avoid much of the filler created for search rankings
  • Users can refine constraints conversationally
  • The system may improve a request by adding relevant considerations

ChatGPT is not a replacement for Google, it is something new.

Kieran Flanagan · 11:00

It is how quickly you can iterate and refine your answer and questions, right?

Kieran Flanagan · 12:00
#chatgpt#search#google#artificial intelligence

Takeaway· 2

Takeaway09:00

Tomorrow's Performance Marketer Needs More Than Platform Expertise

Advertising fragmentation changes the profile of a strong performance marketer. Instead of specializing only in Google and Facebook optimization, marketers will need creative experimentation skills and the ability to identify and test unfamiliar ad units across many platforms.

  • Single-platform specialization becomes less sufficient
  • Creative testing grows in importance
  • Marketers must learn multiple emerging platforms
  • New ad units create opportunities before standard playbooks exist

when there's bigger diversification of advertising platforms, you need to hire a different type of person.

Kipp Bodnar · 09:30

A person that has creativity for testing and implementing creative across lots of different channels and can find unique ad units, especially in new platforms…

Kipp Bodnar · 09:30
#performance marketing#hiring#creative testing#advertising
Takeaway27:00

Growing Marketing Channels Have a Nonlinear Path to Revenue

Kieran observes that channels expected to slow tend to offer direct, measurable paths to customers, while growing channels often influence demand indirectly. This creates a measurement challenge and raises the value of attribution, data access, and modeling expertise.

  • Direct-response channels were expected to face pressure
  • Growing formats often build demand through indirect influence
  • Marketers need stronger attribution and modeling skills
  • Platform owners benefit when advertisers accept broader attribution

Everything that has growing has a non-linear path to becoming a customer's indirect measurement.

Kieran Flanagan · 27:00

if you are a really data minded person who can build great attribution models, wow that your career is in a great spot going into…

Kipp Bodnar · 27:30
#attribution#measurement#demand generation#marketing careers