MMarketing Against The Grain
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16 June 2022

Is Web 3 Coming?

5Frameworks
11Insights

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Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Myth Buster· 1

Myth Buster04:00

Token Holders Do Not Necessarily Want to Govern

The hosts challenge the assumption that participatory governance will drive Web3 adoption. Even people who hold governance tokens rarely vote, suggesting that most users would rather receive a good product than help manage it.

  • Only a small fraction of governance-token holders participate
  • Product users often lack the time or desire to vote
  • Community governance can still suit consequential shared decisions
  • Governance is unlikely to be Web3's primary mass-adoption benefit

So only.5% of governance token holders actually participate in voting.

Kieran Flanagan · 04:30

No, just build the app. Just build it. I'll just use it.

Kip Bodnar · 05:00
#web3#governance#tokens#communities

Hot Take· 6

Hot Take02:30

Why Decentralization Alone Will Not Win Mass Adoption

Kieran argues that mainstream users prioritize a useful, frictionless experience over ideological commitments to decentralization. Web3 products with poor usability will struggle to move beyond early adopters, regardless of how decentralized they are.

  • Mainstream users care more about outcomes than architecture
  • High decentralization cannot compensate for poor usability
  • Early-adopter enthusiasm does not prove mass-market demand
  • Successful technologies usually improve through repeated product iterations

The average user cares about user experience, right?

Kieran Flanagan · 03:00

If user experience is low and decentralization is high, user is not happy and will not use that thing.

Kieran Flanagan · 03:00
#web3#decentralization#user experience#adoption
Hot Take07:30

Why an Average Value for User Data Hides the Real Economics

Kip disputes the idea that Meta's average free cash flow per user reveals what each person's data is worth. He argues that access to some users is much more commercially valuable than access to others and that a platform-wide average conceals these differences.

  • Platform averages do not represent each user's commercial value
  • Occupation and purchasing power affect the value of access
  • Aggregation lets large platforms monetize billions of small contributions
  • A decentralized model might distribute value differently while reducing overhead

So users' data individually is not worth a lot.

Kieran Flanagan · 07:30

the value of your data and access to you is much, much higher than a college student finishing up her freshman year.

Kip Bodnar · 10:30
#data#facebook#privacy#platform economics
Hot Take12:00

Advertising Builds Powerful Platforms but Erodes Their Products

The hosts distinguish between a business model that works for platforms and one that benefits users. Advertising can create enormous companies while simultaneously producing more cluttered, intrusive, and less useful experiences.

  • Advertising is financially effective for platform owners
  • More advertising can make products worse for users
  • The incentives of users and platforms are not automatically aligned
  • Web3 may enable alternative monetization tied to direct transactions

No, the user experience is worse.

Kieran Flanagan · 12:30

It doesn't work for the users, it works for the companies.

Kieran Flanagan · 12:30
#advertising#business models#platforms#user experience
Hot Take19:00

Google Search Is Excellent Despite Its Monopoly Incentives

The hosts praise Google's core search experience while criticizing how its market power affects publishers and marketers. They highlight knowledge panels and increased paid placement as examples of Google extracting more value from content it did not create.

  • Google remains exceptionally effective for ordinary search users
  • Its monopoly gives it broad control over result presentation
  • Knowledge panels can reuse publisher content while retaining traffic and ad revenue
  • A superior user experience makes disruption difficult

You can basically ask like 99% of people's jobs is just asking Google how to do their job.

Kieran Flanagan · 19:30

It's scraping your content and selling ads around it.

Kieran Flanagan · 20:00
#google#search#seo#monopoly#marketing
Hot Take21:00

Why the Social Web Needs More Than an Incremental Upgrade

Kip argues that social media's foundational design should be reconsidered rather than lightly improved. He calls for greater accountability, less dependence on advertising, and better ways for businesses to contribute positively to user experiences.

  • Anonymity reduces accountability on social platforms
  • Advertising dependence distorts platform incentives
  • Current networks reflect interaction patterns from a decade ago
  • Marketers need contextual ways to add value rather than more noise

I think social media needs to be reinvented.

Kip Bodnar · 21:00

the social web, I think needs to be rebuilt

Kip Bodnar · 21:30
#social media#facebook#advertising#web3
Hot Take24:00

Tokenized Streaming Could Let Viewers Own and Resell Access

The hosts imagine replacing fragmented streaming subscriptions with transferable tokens for individual shows. Early viewers could resell access as a show becomes popular, while producers receive royalties and fans gain a direct incentive to recommend their discoveries.

  • Streaming fragmentation has made the experience worse for viewers
  • Show-specific access could replace unwanted service bundles
  • Transferable tokens could create a resale market
  • Royalties could continue compensating producers
  • Ownership could reward early fans for promoting successful shows

So instead of paying a subscription fee I could hold this token watch the show and then resell my token

Kip Bodnar · 24:00

ownership creates many opportunities to actually incentivize your community to be part of your success.

Kieran Flanagan · 25:30
#streaming#tokens#ownership#video#web3

Explainer· 3

Explainer08:00

The Internet's “Original Sin” Was Missing Native Money

Kip interprets Marc Andreessen's argument that the early internet suffered because transactions were not native to its architecture. The resulting reliance on old payment rails and indirect business models concentrated ownership, encouraged advertising, and contributed to spam.

  • The early web reused legacy credit-card payment systems
  • Advertising and donations became dominant indirect incentives
  • Platforms accumulated power that could have belonged to users
  • Native transactions could make online incentives and behavior clearer

And so one of the ways that's an original sin is because we didn't rebuild the payment rails.

Kip Bodnar · 08:30

the absence of money created the spam problem.

Kip Bodnar · 10:00
#web3#payments#advertising#internet history
Explainer14:00

Wallet-to-Wallet Messaging Could Create a Permissioned Email Alternative

Kip describes XMTP as an attempt to provide messaging between cryptocurrency wallets. Unlike open email, wallet messaging could attach financial or ownership-based permissions that control who may contact someone.

  • SMTP's openness allowed email spam to proliferate
  • Wallet messaging can use token ownership as an access condition
  • Monetary permissioning could raise the cost of unwanted messages
  • Marketers may gain contextual channels based on public wallet activity

It got overrun with spam.

Kip Bodnar · 14:30

Like you can only message somebody if they hold a certain token, certain NFT.

Kip Bodnar · 15:00
#wallets#messaging#email#marketing#xmtp
Explainer15:30

Marketing Accelerates Changes Consumers Have Already Started

Kieran explains that communication technologies generally emerge as consumer tools before marketers scale their use. Marketing does not originate the behavioral shift; it adds a promotional layer after people have adopted a new way to interact.

  • Consumer adoption precedes large-scale marketing use
  • Email began as a communication tool rather than a promotional channel
  • Marketers scale established behaviors to reach larger audiences
  • Wallet activity may underpin the next generation of contextual communities

Marketing is an accelerant of changes in consumer behavior.

Kieran Flanagan · 15:30

And marketing then is then an accelerant of that consumer behavior change because it actually adds the marketing layer on top of it

Kieran Flanagan · 16:00
#marketing#consumer behavior#email#web3

Takeaway· 1

Takeaway13:00

Stop Rebuilding Web2 Companies with Web3 Labels

The hosts argue that Web3 builders should not merely recreate established platforms such as Airbnb, Facebook, or Twitter. More compelling products will use ownership, wallets, or programmable transactions to enable experiences that were not practical in Web2.

  • Web3 copies face entrenched competitors with better network effects
  • Token incentives cannot rescue an inferior core experience
  • Builders should seek capabilities unique to Web3
  • Novel use cases matter more than decentralized replicas

I don't think we need to try to build web two companies, web three.

Kieran Flanagan · 13:30

Like, we need to build new things.

Kip Bodnar · 14:00
#web3#innovation#startups#product strategy