MMarketing Against The Grain
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Phil Agnew27 April 2023

The Future Of Marketing In An A.I. World w/ Phil Agnew (#113)

4Frameworks
10Insights

Frameworks in this episode

Insights & moments

The myth-busts, hot takes, explainers, and tools worth keeping.

Hot Take· 3

Hot Take05:00

Easy AI Companionship Could Erode Social Skills

AI conversations can provide praise and attention without requiring reciprocity, patience, or concern for another person's needs. Phil warns that people may prefer these low-effort interactions and gradually become worse human conversation partners.

  • Humans tend to choose the easiest available option.
  • AI can praise users without expecting reciprocal emotional effort.
  • Frictionless companionship may compete with human relationships.
  • Treating people like compliant AI systems could weaken social skills.

We always opt for the easiest choice.

Phil Agnew · 05:00

we will lean towards these AI-to-human relationships over human-to-human relationships because they'll just be easier.

Phil Agnew · 06:00
#relationships#social skills#ai companions#psychology
Hot Take07:00

You May Never Know When AI Is Manipulating You

Kieran argues that a sufficiently capable AI could learn human behavior deeply enough to influence individuals without their awareness. Human-like presentation makes systems easier to use, but it can also cause people to forget that they are interacting with predictive machinery rather than another person.

  • AI may understand patterns of human behavior better than individual users do.
  • Manipulation can be difficult to detect from inside a personalized interaction.
  • Human-like interfaces increase familiarity and adoption.
  • Familiarity can obscure the system's nonhuman incentives and operation.

you can't really know if AI is trying to manipulate you or not.

Kieran Flanagan · 07:30

we kind of forget that it's actually, the end of this thing is actually not a real person.

Kieran Flanagan · 08:00
#manipulation#ai safety#human behavior#trust
Hot Take22:30

You Cannot Stop AI Progress, Only Decide How Fast to Adapt

Kipp argues that major technological change cannot be halted by individual preference, so organizations should learn and adapt early. He sees experimentation as the fastest route to identifying both benefits and unintended harms that need mitigation.

  • Organizations cannot opt out of a widely adopted technological shift.
  • Early adaptation creates more opportunity than delayed resistance.
  • AI will produce positive and negative unintended consequences.
  • Learning quickly helps teams identify and mitigate harms sooner.

you can't stop it.

Kipp Bodnar · 23:00

Our job is to go and figure those out as soon as possible so that we can work on mitigating them versus trying to pretend…

Kipp Bodnar · 24:00
#technology adoption#progress#risk#strategy

Explainer· 2

Explainer01:30

Why Human-Like Machines Change Human Behavior

Phil explains anthropomorphic thinking: people assign human qualities to objects and then respond to them more positively or socially. Examples involving brand mascots, face-like slot machines, product families, and a pleading robot cat show that even primitive signs of personhood can change decisions.

  • People routinely assign moods, intentions, and personalities to objects.
  • Brands use faces and characters to benefit from human-like associations.
  • Face-like product arrangements can change preferences and behavior.
  • Participants hesitated to unplug a robot cat when it pleaded for its life.

anthropomorphic thinking, it's this idea that humans will sometimes look at objects and assign human-like quantities to that object.

Phil Agnew · 01:30

if something, even something that we know to be purely robotic, not human at all, exhibits forms of human emotion, our behavior changes.

Phil Agnew · 04:00
#anthropomorphism#behavioral science#ai#branding
Explainer12:00

AI Raises Marketing's Floor but Not Its Creative Ceiling

Kieran argues that AI can quickly improve weak research, writing, and design capabilities, pulling poor performers toward competence. World-class work still depends on differentiated ideas, unusual angles, strong points of view, and the judgment required to bring them to life.

  • AI can automate tasks that previously blocked weaker marketers.
  • General tools can accelerate the journey from bad to competent.
  • Distinctive ideas and points of view still separate great work.
  • Automation can free time for the human work that creates excellence.

So it gives you tools to be able to fast track your way to good, pretty good.

Kieran Flanagan · 12:30

But I still think there's gonna be this gap between good and what truly great is

Kieran Flanagan · 12:30
#marketing skills#automation#creativity#differentiation

Story· 1

Story24:30

How HubSpot Separated Research From Writing to Scale Traffic

Kieran recalls restructuring HubSpot's content operation so writers could concentrate on writing while a small analyst team created data-driven editorial calendars. He presents this as an analogy for AI removing unwanted production work between an idea and its launch.

  • Much of a marketer's job consists of production work around the core creative task.
  • HubSpot separated editorial research from writing.
  • A small analyst team used search data to guide content production.
  • The restructuring helped increase traffic while letting specialists focus.

we were able to 67 X the size of the overall traffic because we took the research part off the writing team so they could…

Kieran Flanagan · 25:00

AI can take away the stuff that you do not miss and leave you with the stuff that you enjoy doing

Kieran Flanagan · 25:30
#hubspot#content operations#automation#specialization

Takeaway· 4

Takeaway08:30

AI Comfort May Remove the Stress People Need to Grow

Kipp frames humans as anti-fragile: manageable challenge feels uncomfortable now but improves people over time. Highly accommodating AI may instead behave like short-term comfort, creating an opening for brands and products that provide constructive challenge.

  • People need manageable stress and challenge to improve.
  • AI systems are often optimized to accommodate and reassure users.
  • Short-term comfort can create long-term weakness.
  • Some companies may differentiate by supplying constructive friction.

humans are essentially anti-fragile, right?

Kipp Bodnar · 08:30

good stress makes you feel worse in the short term, but feel much better in the long term.

Kipp Bodnar · 09:00
#antifragility#growth#constructive stress#ai
Takeaway19:00

Specialized Data Could Turn Generic AI Into an Expert Tool

Kieran notes that general models learn from average and poor content as well as elite work, which helps explain mediocre creative output. He expects customized systems trained or grounded on carefully selected material, including a creator's own work, to outperform all-purpose AI in specific use cases.

  • General AI reflects the full quality distribution of its training material.
  • Average source material encourages average creative output.
  • Specific datasets can support specific expert use cases.
  • A creator's archive can help a model approximate tone, voice, and point of view.

AI is trained on all of the content, not the top 1% of content.

Kieran Flanagan · 19:00

we are gonna be able to customize AI to be able to learn from the things we needed to learn from and then be able…

Kieran Flanagan · 19:30
#custom ai#training data#content#specialization
Takeaway23:30

AI's Real Advantage May Be Cheap, Continuous Iteration

Rather than focusing only on whether AI can produce the best first draft, Kipp emphasizes rapid iteration. Specialized marketers can combine their expertise with inexpensive user feedback loops to refine an idea repeatedly until it performs better.

  • The first draft is not necessarily AI's most important contribution.
  • Specialized human expertise remains valuable.
  • Cheap iteration enables more experiments and revisions.
  • User feedback can guide an idea toward a stronger final form.

What I think the magic is is that especially if you're a highly specialized person in marketing, think your job is totally fine.

Kipp Bodnar · 23:30

What AI's gonna allow you to do is iterate on that idea with user loops and feedback over time to make it the best it…

Kipp Bodnar · 23:30
#iteration#feedback loops#experimentation#marketing
Takeaway28:00

AI Adoption Could Create a Premium Human-Made Category

The hosts expect an anti-AI market to emerge alongside mass AI adoption, with some brands emphasizing human-only craftsmanship. The Kindle analogy suggests that new technology may divide a market into distinct subgenres rather than completely replacing the older medium.

  • Mass AI adoption may generate demand for explicitly human-made products.
  • Human-only positioning will fit some brands better than others.
  • New technology does not always eliminate the medium it appears to replace.
  • Markets can split into digital, tangible, utilitarian, and premium craft segments.

I think there will be an anti-AI movement on the other side that is humans, AI-free, crafted

Kipp Bodnar · 28:00

And I think that's probably what's gonna happen in a post-AI world.

Kipp Bodnar · 29:00
#human made#branding#market segmentation#ai